One of the most
remarkable things about global politics in 2018 is the huge importance of
Russia. Its influence goes way beyond its obvious reach.
Beijing is much
more powerful than Moscow economically. Washington is still much more powerful
than Moscow militarily. But Russia under Putin is a fulcrum on which the politics
of North America, Western Europe and the Middle East seems to turn.
We are
grappling with the idea of Russian interference in elections and referendums.
Still reeling from its enormous implications.
Press
conferences are held in which Putin is questioned on whether he has kompromat on the US President. While the US President is standing right
beside him.
The US
President reminds us that Germany is heavily dependent on Russian energy
supplies.
UK security
services investigate a murder on British soil linked to a Russian nerve agent.
We have reconciled ourselves to the fact that the butcher Assad will survive in Syria, because of his powerful backers in the Kremlin.
We have reconciled ourselves to the fact that the butcher Assad will survive in Syria, because of his powerful backers in the Kremlin.
And to cap it
all, we have the World Cup propaganda coup for Putin too. As if we hadn’t had
quite enough of Moscow, thanks very much.
Another weird
thing.
The apologists
for Russia come from both the left and the right.
So people who always
advocated socialism turn a blind eye to the ruthless and authoritarian nature
of the Putin regime, while those who vociferously opposed communism in the USSR
kid themselves that the totalitarian legacy has been erased in the past quarter
of a century.
What is it that
binds these disparate groups together?
It’s a shared acceptance
of Russia’s agenda: to destabilise the EU, NATO and the post-war institutions
which bind people together.
These are
organisations and ideals which represent the economic and geopolitical status
quo. While they rail against them, many in the alt-right and alt-left movements
have scant idea of what follows once the tables in the temple have been overturned.
There’s also a
shared romantic belief in the past.
For Putin, that
means the recreation of the security provided by the former Soviet Union and
its expanded borders. His excursions into Crimea and Ukraine rightly alarm the
Baltic states and former Soviet Republics. His goals are imperialist, grandiose
and sinister.
For fans of
Russia on both the far left and far right, the glorification of the past
involves a fantasy. It is a return to a pre-global economy in which long-extinct
jobs are revived. Solidarity and community would be revived too – either around
an ideological commitment to socialism or, alternatively, ideas about nation
and race.
The enemies of all
these populists and extremists? ‘Neo-liberals’, globalists, corrupt elites and
other supposed bogey men.
Even if we
accept this framing of the modern political economy – and there are any strong
arguments to say that it is a complete caricature – how can anyone take
seriously the idea that Russia is part of the fight against it?
In fact, it
might be argued that Russia since the 1990s has been perhaps the ultimate example
of capitalism in extremis, of cronyism
and oligarchy.
So every time
the far right and far left use Russia as a lever to undermine the status quo in
North America and Europe, they are playing with fire.
They claim that an angry Alsatian is on the loose, so borrow a couple of pitbulls to tear it apart.
We can be sure the result will be a bloody mess.
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